113 年 國立清華大學外國語文學系碩士班甲組《文本分析》
第 1 題50 分
- Examine the passage from Dipesh Chakrabarty's The Climate of History in a Planetary Age. Your analysis should clearly articulate Chakrabarty's main argument, focusing on the contrast he draws between the traditional modalities of political negotiations and the pressing urgency of climate change. After outlining the central thesis, offer a critical evaluation of his claims and consider how his ideas contribute to our understanding of the complexities in addressing climate change within existing political frameworks.
There is an interesting problem of temporality here. Negotiations between nations at the level of the UN usually assume an open and indefinite calendar. For instance, we don't know when there will be peace between the state of Israel and the Palestinian population or whether the people of Kashmir will ever live in an undivided land. Those are questions that belong to an open and indefinite calendar. Similarly, we don't know when humans will be successful in ushering in a fair and equitable world. The struggle against capitalism assumes that there is time aplenty for our historical questions of injustice to be settled. The climate problem and all talk of 'dangerous' climate change, on the other hand, confront us with finite calendars of urgent action. Yet powerful nations of the world have sought to deal with the problem with an apparatus that was meant for actions on indefinite calendars. Following the success of the Montreal Protocol of 1987, the UN treated anthropogenic climate change as a 'global' and not planetary problem that was to be solved through the UN mechanism. This is why the UN set up the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) in 1988. But, interestingly, the action that the IPCC recommends-on global carbon budgets, for instance-assumes a finite and definite calendar that then is subjected to global negotiations. The 2°C figure that is normally seen as the threshold of 'dangerous' climate change, for instance, represents a politically negotiated compromise between the UN tendency toward an indefinite calendar of action and the finite calendar that scientists come up with. It is entirely possible that planetary climate change is a problem that the UN was not set up to deal with. But we have no better democratic alternative at present. Climate change and the Anthropocene are thus problems that are profoundly political and that challenge our received political institutions and imaginations at the same time.... The climate crisis thus produces problems that we ponder on very different and often incompatible scales of time. Policy specialists think in terms of years, decades, at most centuries, while politicians in democracies think in terms of their electoral cycles. Understanding what anthropogenic climate change is and how long its effects may last calls for thinking on very large and small scales at once, including scales that defy the usual measures of time that inform human affairs. This is another reason that makes it difficult to develop a comprehensive politics of climate change. [David] Archer goes to the heart of the problem here when he acknowledges that the million-year timescale of the planet's carbon cycle is 'irrelevant for political considerations of climate change on human time scales.' Yet, he insists, it remains relevant to any understanding of anthropogenic climate change because 'ultimately the global warming climate event will last for as long as it takes these slow processes to act' (12-13; 50-51).
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本題為一篇文本分析題,要求考生閱讀 Dipesh Chakrabarty 的《The Climate of History in a Planetary Age》的選文,並分析作者的核心論點,特別是其對傳統政治協商模式與氣候變遷緊迫性之間對比的闡述。考生需在概述中心思想後,對作者的論點進行批判性評估,並探討其思想如何有助於理解在現有政治框架下應對氣候變遷的複雜性。
核心觀念:
本文探討氣候變遷所帶來的時間尺度錯位問題,以及傳統政治協商模式(以無限期為基礎)如何與氣候變遷的緊迫性(以有限期為基礎)產生衝突。
解題步驟:
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闡述 Chakrabarty 的核心論點:
- 時間尺度的對比: 作者指出,聯合國(UN)等國際協商通常建立在「開放且無限期」的時間尺度上,例如處理以巴衝突、克什米爾問題,或追求公平世界。這種模式假設有足夠的時間來解決歷史遺留的不公義。
- 氣候變遷的緊迫性: 相反,氣候變遷及其「危險」的後果,迫使我們面對「有限期」的緊迫行動。科學家提出的 2°C 升溫閾值,本身就是一個政治協商下的妥協,試圖調和科學的有限時間表與政治的無限期傾向。
- 現有政治機制的失調: 作者認為,聯合國及其設立的政府間氣候變遷專門委員會(IPCC)等機構,雖然試圖處理這個「全球性」問題,但其運作的政治框架(基於傳統的無限期協商模式)可能並不適合處理氣候變遷這種「行星性」問題。
- 多重時間尺度的挑戰: 氣候危機迫使我們同時思考極大(行星碳循環的百萬年尺度)與極小(政策專家數年、數十年,或民主政治的選舉週期)的時間尺度。這種多重且不相容的時間尺度,使得制定全面的氣候政治變得異常困難。
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批判性評估:
- 論點的洞見: Chakrabarty 精準地指出了當代政治體系在應對全球性、長期性危機時所面臨的根本性結構性挑戰,即時間尺度的錯位。他連結了政治協商、科學預測與人類歷史的長遠發展,提供了深刻的觀察。
- 潛在的局限或爭議:
- 悲觀主義的風險: 作者雖然強調問題的嚴峻性,但對於「我們沒有更好的民主替代方案」的結論,可能顯得較為悲觀,較少提出具體可行的解決路徑,或對現有政治機制的改革潛力有所低估。
第 2 題50 分
- Read the following passage from Noam Chomsky's commentary on generative AI, and identify his central argument. Then, critically evaluate his viewpoint, considering the broader implications for our understanding of AI and its comparison to human intelligence and ethics.
Jorge Luis Borges once wrote that to live in a time of great peril and promise is to experience both tragedy and comedy, with "the imminence of a revelation" in understanding ourselves and the world. Today our supposedly revolutionary advancements in artificial intelligence are indeed cause for both concern and optimism. Optimism because intelligence is the means by which we solve problems. Concern because we fear that the most popular and fashionable strain of A.I. machine learning-will degrade our science and debase our ethics by incorporating into our technology a fundamentally flawed conception of language and knowledge.
OpenAI's ChatGPT, Google's Bard and Microsoft's Sydney are marvels of machine learning. Roughly speaking, they take huge amounts of data, search for patterns in it and become increasingly proficient at generating statistically probable outputs such as seemingly humanlike language and thought. These programs have been hailed as the first glimmers on the horizon of artificial general intelligence that long-prophesied moment when mechanical minds surpass human brains not only quantitatively in terms of processing speed and memory size but also qualitatively in terms of intellectual insight, artistic creativity and every other distinctively human faculty.
That day may come, but its dawn is not yet breaking, contrary to what can be read in hyperbolic headlines and reckoned by injudicious investments. The Borgesian revelation of understanding has not and will not-and, we submit, cannot occur if machine learning programs like ChatGPT continue to dominate the field of A.I. However useful these programs may be in some narrow domains (they can be helpful in computer programming, for example, or in suggesting rhymes for light verse), we know from the science of linguistics and the philosophy of knowledge that they differ profoundly from how humans reason and use language. These differences place significant limitations on what these programs can do, encoding them with ineradicable defects.
The human mind is not, like ChatGPT and its ilk, a lumbering statistical engine for pattern matching, gorging on hundreds of terabytes of data and extrapolating the most likely conversational response or most probable answer to a scientific question. On the contrary, the human mind is a surprisingly efficient and even elegant system that operates with small amounts of information; it seeks not to infer brute correlations among data points but to create explanations.
Indeed, such programs [ChatGPT and other generative AI models] are stuck in a prehuman or nonhuman phase of cognitive evolution. Their deepest flaw is the absence of the most critical capacity of any intelligence: to say not only what is the case, what was the case and what will be the case that's description and prediction-but also what is not the case and what could and could not be the case. Those are the ingredients of explanation, the mark of true intelligence.
True intelligence is also capable of moral thinking. This means constraining the otherwise limitless creativity of our minds with a set of ethical principles that determines what ought and ought not to be (and of course subjecting those principles themselves to creative criticism). To be useful, ChatGPT must be empowered to generate novel-looking output; to be acceptable to most of its users, it must steer clear of morally objectionable content. But the programmers of ChatGPT and other machine learning marvels have struggled and will continue to struggle to achieve this kind of balance. ("The False Promise of ChatGPT")
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本題為一篇文本分析題,要求考生閱讀 Noam Chomsky 關於生成式 AI 的評論選文,辨識其中心論點,並對其觀點進行批判性評估,特別是考量其對我們理解 AI、以及 AI 與人類智慧及倫理比較的廣泛意涵。
核心觀念:
Chomsky 認為,當前主流的機器學習 AI(如 ChatGPT)本質上是基於統計模式匹配的「預人」或「非人」系統,與真正的人類智慧(強調解釋、創造和道德思考)存在根本差異,並可能對科學和倫理構成威脅。
解題步驟:
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辨識 Chomsky 的中心論點:
- AI 的本質是統計模式匹配: Chomsky 將 ChatGPT 等生成式 AI 描述為「龐大的統計引擎」,透過處理海量數據來生成「統計上最可能的輸出」,例如看似人類的語言和思考。
- 與人類智慧的根本差異: 他強調,人類心智與此不同,是「高效且優雅的系統」,能以少量資訊運作,並「創造解釋」(create explanations),而非僅僅推斷數據間的粗略關聯。人類智慧的核心能力在於能夠說明「何為真實」、「何曾真實」、「何將真實」(描述與預測),更重要的是,能夠說明「何非真實」、「何可能真實」、「何不可能真實」。這最後一點,是「解釋」的要素,也是「真正智慧」的標記。
- AI 的局限性: 這種缺乏解釋和「何非真實」能力,是 AI 的「最深層缺陷」,使其處於「預人或非人」的認知演化階段。
- 對科學與倫理的潛在威脅: Chomsky 擔憂,這種以「有缺陷的語言與知識概念」為基礎的機器學習,將「貶低我們的科學並敗壞我們的倫理」。
- 道德思考的缺失: 他進一步指出,真正的智慧也包含「道德思考」,即用倫理原則約束心智的創造力,決定何為應為、何為不應為。目前的 AI 在此方面顯得力不從心,即使程式設計師努力尋求平衡,也面臨巨大挑戰。
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批判性評估 Chomsky 的觀點:
- 論點的優勢:
- 對「智能」的深刻定義: Chomsky 區分了「模式匹配」與「解釋」的創造,為理解真正智慧提供了一個有力的哲學和語言學視角。他對「何非真實」的強調,觸及了理解和預測的關鍵,這確實是當前 AI 難以企及的。
- 對 AI 潛在風險的警示: 他對 AI 貶低科學、敗壞倫理的擔憂,提醒我們在擁抱技術進步時,必須警惕其對知識體系和價值觀的潛在侵蝕。
- 強調人類獨特性: Chomsky 成功地捍衛了人類智慧的獨特性,特別是在解釋能力和道德判斷方面,反對將統計模型視為與人類智慧等同的觀點。
- 潛在的局限或爭議:
- 過於簡化的二分法? Chomsky 將 AI 劃分為「統計引擎」與「真正智慧」,這種二分法可能過於絕對。儘管當前 AI 離「真正智慧」尚遠,但其在某些領域的生成能力和學習速度,也帶來了新的可能性,而非全然的「缺陷」。
- 對「科學」和「倫理」的定義: Chomsky 擔憂 AI 會「貶低科學」,但科學本身也在不斷演進,AI 也可能成為推動科學發現的新工具。
- 論點的優勢: