114 年 國立臺灣大學經濟學系碩士班《總體經濟學》

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第 1 題

A consumer lives for two periods, current period t and future period t+1. To maximize his lifetime utility, he solves the
following optimal consumption-saving problem.
max⁡Ct,Ct+1u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)\max_{C_t, C_{t+1}} u(C_t) + \beta u(C_{t+1})
Subject to the lifetime budget constraint.
Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
where rtr_t is the interest rate, YtY_t is his income at t, and Yt+1Y_{t+1} is income at t+1.
Answer the following 10 multiple-choices questions using the above two-periods optimal consumption framework. In the
following, MPC refers to the marginal propensity to consume.

  1. One of the implications of the intertemporal budget constraint is that:
    (A) current consumption does not have to equal current income
    (B) lifetime consumption equals total wealth
    (C) there can be income transfers between today and the future
    (D) All of the above answers are correct.
    (E) None of these answers is correct.

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這一題的完整詳解

核心觀念

本題考的是兩期消費—儲蓄模型中的「跨期預算限制式」。題目給定:

Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t+\frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t+\frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}

左側是兩期消費的現值,右側是兩期所得的現值,也就是消費者的總財富(以 tt 期為基準衡量)。

因此,跨期預算限制式表示:

消費現值=所得現值=總財富\text{消費現值}=\text{所得現值}=\text{總財富}

其中,消費者可以透過儲蓄或借貸,在現在與未來之間重新配置消費。


解題方法

令目前的儲蓄為 StS_t,則當期預算限制式可寫成:

Ct+St=YtC_t+S_t=Y_t

因此:

St=Yt−CtS_t=Y_t-C_t

若 St>0S_t>0,表示消費者目前儲蓄、將所得移轉至未來;若 St<0S_t<0,表示消費者借貸、將未來所得移轉至現在。

第二期的消費為:

Ct+1=Yt+1+(1+rt)StC_{t+1}=Y_{t+1}+(1+r_t)S_t

將 St=Yt−CtS_t=Y_t-C_t 代入:

Ct+1=Yt+1+(1+rt)(Yt−Ct)C_{t+1} = Y_{t+1}+(1+r_t)(Y_t-C_t)

整理後即得到:

Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t+\frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t+\frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}

這表示:

  1. 當期消費不必等於當期所得;
  2. 兩期消費的現值等於兩期所得的現值;
  3. 所得可以透過借貸或儲蓄,在兩期之間移轉。

選項分析

(A) current consumption does not have to equal current income

正確。

由當期預算式:

Ct+St=YtC_t+S_t=Y_t

可知:

Ct=Yt−StC_t=Y_t-S_t

若消費者選擇儲蓄,則 Ct<YtC_t<Y_t;若消費者借貸,則 Ct>YtC_t>Y_t。因此,當期消費不必等於當期所得。


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第 2 題

A consumer lives for two periods, current period t and future period t+1. To maximize his lifetime utility, he solves the
following optimal consumption-saving problem.
max⁡Ct,Ct+1u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)\max_{C_t, C_{t+1}} u(C_t) + \beta u(C_{t+1})
Subject to the lifetime budget constraint.
Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
where rtr_t is the interest rate, YtY_t is his income at t, and Yt+1Y_{t+1} is income at t+1.
Answer the following 10 multiple-choices questions using the above two-periods optimal consumption framework. In the
following, MPC refers to the marginal propensity to consume.
2. In the optimal consumption model, if β(1+r)<1\beta(1+r) < 1, then which of the followings is correct?
(A) current consumption is larger than future consumption
(B) the current consumption is equal to the permanent income
(C) the current consumption is less than the permanent income
(D) none of the above are correct

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這一題的完整詳解

此題考驗消費者理論中,跨期決策的條件,特別是當主觀折現因子與利率的組合與消費的關係。

核心觀念:
在兩時期消費決策模型中,消費者在達到最適點時,會滿足 Euler 方程式:
u′(Ct)=β(1+rt)u′(Ct+1)u'(C_t) = \beta (1+r_t) u'(C_{t+1})
其中 u′(C)u'(C) 是邊際效用。

若假設邊際效用遞減(u′′(C)<0u''(C) < 0),則當 u′(Ct)>u′(Ct+1)u'(C_t) > u'(C_{t+1}) 時,表示 Ct<Ct+1C_t < C_{t+1}。
反之,當 u′(Ct)<u′(Ct+1)u'(C_t) < u'(C_{t+1}) 時,表示 Ct>Ct+1C_t > C_{t+1}。

題目給定的條件是 β(1+rt)<1\beta(1+r_t) < 1。
我們將 Euler 方程式改寫為 u′(Ct)u′(Ct+1)=β(1+rt)\frac{u'(C_t)}{u'(C_{t+1})} = \beta (1+r_t)。
由於 β(1+rt)<1\beta(1+r_t) < 1,所以 u′(Ct)u′(Ct+1)<1\frac{u'(C_t)}{u'(C_{t+1})} < 1。
這意味著 u′(Ct)<u′(Ct+1)u'(C_t) < u'(C_{t+1})。
由於邊際效用遞減, u′(Ct)<u′(Ct+1)u'(C_t) < u'(C_{t+1}) 意味著 Ct>Ct+1C_t > C_{t+1}。
所以,當期消費大於未來消費。

接下來,我們需要考慮永久所得 (permanent income) 的概念。
永久所得是指終身財富的平均值,若將其視為一個恆定的消費額 C∗C^*,則該恆定消費額應滿足終身預算限制式。
終身預算限制式的現值形式為: Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}。
若消費恆定,則 Ct=Ct+1=C∗C_t = C_{t+1} = C^*。
將此代入預算限制式: C∗+C∗1+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC^* + \frac{C^*}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
C∗(1+11+rt)=Yt+Yt+11+rtC^* (1 + \frac{1}{1+r_t}) = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
C∗(1+rt+11+rt)=Yt+Yt+11+rtC^* (\frac{1+r_t+1}{1+r_t}) = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
C∗(2+rt1+rt)=Yt+Yt+11+rtC^* (\frac{2+r_t}{1+r_t}) = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
C∗=1+rt2+rt(Yt+Yt+11+rt)C^* = \frac{1+r_t}{2+r_t} (Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t})
這個 C∗C^* 就是「消費恆定下的消費水平」,在恆定利率和恆定所得(Yt=Yt+1=YY_t = Y_{t+1} = Y)的兩時期模型中,永久所得為 Y+Y1+r=Y(1+11+r)=Y(2+r1+r)Y + \frac{Y}{1+r} = Y(1+\frac{1}{1+r}) = Y(\frac{2+r}{1+r})。
那麼恆定消費 C∗=YC^* = Y。

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第 3 題

A consumer lives for two periods, current period t and future period t+1. To maximize his lifetime utility, he solves the
following optimal consumption-saving problem.
max⁡Ct,Ct+1u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)\max_{C_t, C_{t+1}} u(C_t) + \beta u(C_{t+1})
Subject to the lifetime budget constraint.
Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
where rtr_t is the interest rate, YtY_t is his income at t, and Yt+1Y_{t+1} is income at t+1.
Answer the following 10 multiple-choices questions using the above two-periods optimal consumption framework. In the
following, MPC refers to the marginal propensity to consume.
3. An increase in the interest rate will:
(A) Cause current consumption to increase
(B) Have negative income effect on Ct of savers
(C) Have negative total effect on Ct+1 of savers
(D) Have negative income effect on borrowers

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這一題的完整詳解

此題考驗利率變動對當期消費 CtC_t 和未來消費 Ct+1C_{t+1} 的影響,特別是儲蓄者 (savers) 和借款者 (borrowers) 的區別,以及所得效果 (income effect) 與替代效果 (substitution effect) 的作用。

核心觀念:
利率上升對消費的影響可以分解為替代效果和所得效果。

  1. 替代效果 (Substitution Effect):利率上升使未來消費相對當期消費變得更便宜(因為借款成本上升,儲蓄回報上升)。消費者會傾向於用未來消費替代當期消費。因此,替代效果總是使得當期消費 CtC_t 下降,未來消費 Ct+1C_{t+1} 上升。
  2. 所得效果 (Income Effect):利率上升對所得的影響取決於消費者是儲蓄者還是借款者。
    • 儲蓄者 (Savers):利率上升意味著他們從儲蓄中獲得更多利息收入,總財富增加。財富增加會導致當期和未來消費都增加(假設消費為正常財)。因此,所得效果使得 CtC_t 上升, Ct+1C_{t+1} 上升。
    • 借款者 (Borrowers):利率上升意味著他們支付的利息增加,償還債務的負擔加重,總財富減少。財富減少會導致當期和未來消費都減少。因此,所得效果使得 CtC_t 下降, Ct+1C_{t+1} 下降。

總效果 (Total Effect):總效果是替代效果和所得效果的疊加。

  • 儲蓄者:替代效果使 CtC_t 下降,所得效果使 CtC_t 上升。總效果不確定,取決於兩者相對大小。替代效果使 Ct+1C_{t+1} 上升,所得效果使 Ct+1C_{t+1} 上升。總效果是 Ct+1C_{t+1} 上升。
  • 借款者:替代效果使 CtC_t 下降,所得效果使 CtC_t 下降。總效果是 CtC_t 下降。替代效果使 Ct+1C_{t+1} 上升,所得效果使 Ct+1C_{t+1} 下降。總效果不確定。

題目中的選項:
(A) Cause current consumption to increase:總效果不確定,不能一概而論。對於借款者,總效果是下降。

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第 4 題

A consumer lives for two periods, current period t and future period t+1. To maximize his lifetime utility, he solves the
following optimal consumption-saving problem.
max⁡Ct,Ct+1u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)\max_{C_t, C_{t+1}} u(C_t) + \beta u(C_{t+1})
Subject to the lifetime budget constraint.
Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
where rtr_t is the interest rate, YtY_t is his income at t, and Yt+1Y_{t+1} is income at t+1.
Answer the following 10 multiple-choices questions using the above two-periods optimal consumption framework. In the
following, MPC refers to the marginal propensity to consume.
4. Which of the following scenarios will make the MPC equal to 1?
(A) A transitory income increases at t to a saver
(B) A permanent income increases at both t and t+1
(C) An expected income changes at t+1
(D) A transitory income increases at t to a borrower

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這一題的完整詳解

核心觀念

本題考的是兩期消費模型與「永久所得假說」下的邊際消費傾向(MPC):

MPC=ΔCtΔYMPC=\frac{\Delta C_t}{\Delta Y}

消費者會將所得變動分配至兩期,以平滑一生消費。由終身預算限制可知,當期所得增加不一定全部轉化為當期消費,通常會有一部分用於儲蓄或償還借款。

最適化的一階條件為:

u′(Ct)=β(1+rt)u′(Ct+1)u'(C_t)=\beta(1+r_t)u'(C_{t+1})

因此,消費者會根據「終身財富」而非單一期所得決定消費。

解題方法

判斷各選項時,重點在於所得增加是:

  • 暫時性所得增加:只影響單一期所得,消費者會將其分散到兩期,因此 MPC<1MPC<1。
  • 永久性所得增加:未來各期所得同步增加,消費者的永久所得與消費可同步增加,因此在標準永久所得假說下,MPC=1MPC=1。
  • 未來所得增加:會透過跨期替代影響當期消費,但不代表當期消費會等額增加。

選項分析

(A) A transitory income increases at t to a saver

錯誤。

儲蓄者在 tt 期獲得暫時性所得增加時,不會將全部所得用於當期消費,而會將一部分儲蓄至 t+1t+1,以平滑兩期消費。

因此:

0<MPC<10<MPC<1

所以不會使 MPC 等於 11。

(B) A permanent income increases at both t and t+1

正確。

若 tt 期與 t+1t+1 期的所得同步永久增加,消費者的終身財富增加,且此所得增加並非只存在於單一期,而是永久性提高可支配資源。

在標準永久所得假說下,消費者會將永久所得增加完整反映在消費增加上:

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第 5 題

A consumer lives for two periods, current period t and future period t+1. To maximize his lifetime utility, he solves the
following optimal consumption-saving problem.
max⁡Ct,Ct+1u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)\max_{C_t, C_{t+1}} u(C_t) + \beta u(C_{t+1})
Subject to the lifetime budget constraint.
Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
where rtr_t is the interest rate, YtY_t is his income at t, and Yt+1Y_{t+1} is income at t+1.
Answer the following 10 multiple-choices questions using the above two-periods optimal consumption framework. In the
following, MPC refers to the marginal propensity to consume.
5. If the interest rate rtr_t decreases, the substitution effect suggests that
(A) CtC_t will increase and Ct+1C_{t+1} will decrease.
(B) CtC_t will decrease and Ct+1C_{t+1} will increase.
(C) both CtC_t and Ct+1C_{t+1} will increase.
(D) both CtC_t and Ct+1C_{t+1} will decrease.

登入後即可作答並保存紀錄。

這一題的完整詳解

此題考驗利率變動對跨期消費決策的替代效果 (substitution effect)。

核心觀念:
替代效果是指當相對價格變動時,消費者為了維持相同效用水平而調整消費組合的行為。
在跨期消費模型中,利率 rtr_t 是未來消費相對於當期消費的「相對價格」。
預算限制式可以改寫為: Ct+Ct+11+rt=WtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = W_t (其中 WtW_t 是當期終身財富的現值)。
利率 rtr_t 的變動會影響預算線的斜率,其斜率為 −(1+rt)-(1+r_t)。

當利率 rtr_t 下降時:

  1. 預算線的斜率變化:斜率 −(1+rt)-(1+r_t) 的絕對值變小。預算線變得較平坦。
  2. 相對價格變化:未來消費 Ct+1C_{t+1} 相對於當期消費 CtC_t 變得「更貴」。
    • 從儲蓄者的角度看:儲蓄的回報降低。為了獲得相同的未來消費,需要儲蓄更多,或者減少當期消費。
    • 從借款者的角度看:借款的成本降低。未來消費的成本下降,更容易獲得。
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第 6 題

A consumer lives for two periods, current period t and future period t+1. To maximize his lifetime utility, he solves the
following optimal consumption-saving problem.
max⁡Ct,Ct+1u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)\max_{C_t, C_{t+1}} u(C_t) + \beta u(C_{t+1})
Subject to the lifetime budget constraint.
Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
where rtr_t is the interest rate, YtY_t is his income at t, and Yt+1Y_{t+1} is income at t+1.
Answer the following 10 multiple-choices questions using the above two-periods optimal consumption framework. In the
following, MPC refers to the marginal propensity to consume.
6. Suppose you are a saver. When the real interest rate rtr_t decreases, suppose that the income effect is stronger than the
substitution effect, what will happen to CtC_t and Ct+1C_{t+1}?
(A) CtC_t will increase and Ct+1C_{t+1} will decrease
(B) CtC_t will decrease and Ct+1C_{t+1} will increase
(C) both CtC_t and Ct+1C_{t+1} will increase.
(D) both CtC_t and Ct+1C_{t+1} will decrease

登入後即可作答並保存紀錄。

這一題的完整詳解

此題考驗利率變動對儲蓄者 (savers) 的總效果 (total effect),特別是當所得效果 (income effect) 強於替代效果 (substitution effect) 時。

核心觀念:
當利率 rtr_t 下降時,對儲蓄者消費的影響分解為替代效果和所得效果:

  1. 替代效果 (Substitution Effect):

    • 利率下降使得未來消費 Ct+1C_{t+1} 相對於當期消費 CtC_t 變得更貴(因為儲蓄回報降低)。
    • 消費者傾向於用相對便宜的當期消費替代相對昂貴的未來消費。
    • 因此,替代效果導致:CtC_t 增加,Ct+1C_{t+1} 減少。
  2. 所得效果 (Income Effect):

    • 儲蓄者是利率下降的受損者,因為他們的儲蓄收益減少,總財富(購買力)下降。
    • 財富下降會導致當期和未來消費都減少(假設消費為正常財)。
    • 因此,所得效果導致:CtC_t 下降,Ct+1C_{t+1} 下降。
  3. 總效果 (Total Effect):

    • 總效果是替代效果和所得效果的疊加。
    • 對於 CtC_t:替代效果使 CtC_t 增加,所得效果使 CtC_t 下降。總效果不確定,取決於兩者相對大小。
    • 對於 Ct+1C_{t+1}:替代效果使 Ct+1C_{t+1} 減少,所得效果使 Ct+1C_{t+1} 下降。
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第 7 題

A consumer lives for two periods, current period t and future period t+1. To maximize his lifetime utility, he solves the
following optimal consumption-saving problem.
max⁡Ct,Ct+1u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)\max_{C_t, C_{t+1}} u(C_t) + \beta u(C_{t+1})
Subject to the lifetime budget constraint.
Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
where rtr_t is the interest rate, YtY_t is his income at t, and Yt+1Y_{t+1} is income at t+1.
Answer the following 10 multiple-choices questions using the above two-periods optimal consumption framework. In the
following, MPC refers to the marginal propensity to consume.
7. Consider the case of log utility for both periods, that is, u(Ct)=ln⁡Ctu(C_t) = \ln C_t. If the change rate of consumption is 4% and suppose
β=0.98\beta = 0.98. In order for the Euler equation to hold in this case, what value must the real interest rate take? (Round off your
answer and select the best fit option.)
(A) 5%
(B) 6%
(C) 7%
(D) 8%

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這一題的完整詳解

此題考驗 Euler 方程式的應用,特別是當效用函數為對數函數時,利率、折現因子與消費變動率的關係。

核心觀念:
在兩時期消費模型中,最適化的 Euler 方程式為:
u′(Ct)=β(1+rt)u′(Ct+1)u'(C_t) = \beta (1+r_t) u'(C_{t+1})

題目給定:

  • 效用函數:u(Ct)=ln⁡Ctu(C_t) = \ln C_t
  • 邊際效用:u′(Ct)=1Ctu'(C_t) = \frac{1}{C_t}
  • 主觀折現因子:β=0.98\beta = 0.98
  • 消費的變動率:未來消費相對於當期消費的變動率為 4%。這意味著 Ct+1=(1+0.04)CtC_{t+1} = (1+0.04) C_t,或者 Ct+1Ct=1.04\frac{C_{t+1}}{C_t} = 1.04。
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第 8 題

A consumer lives for two periods, current period t and future period t+1. To maximize his lifetime utility, he solves the
following optimal consumption-saving problem.
max⁡Ct,Ct+1u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)\max_{C_t, C_{t+1}} u(C_t) + \beta u(C_{t+1})
Subject to the lifetime budget constraint.
Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
where rtr_t is the interest rate, YtY_t is his income at t, and Yt+1Y_{t+1} is income at t+1.
Answer the following 10 multiple-choices questions using the above two-periods optimal consumption framework. In the
following, MPC refers to the marginal propensity to consume.
8. What is the impact on current consumption when the real interest rate increases:
(A) CtC_t decreases due to the negative income effect
(B) CtC_t increases due to the positive income effect
(C) CtC_t decreases due to the intertemporal substitution effect
(D) CtC_t increases due to the intertemporal substitution effect

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這一題的完整詳解

此題考驗利率變動對當期消費 CtC_t 的影響,並要求區分所得效果 (income effect) 和跨期替代效果 (intertemporal substitution effect)。

核心觀念:
當實質利率 rtr_t 上升時,對當期消費 CtC_t 的影響可以分解為兩種效果:

  1. 替代效果 (Intertemporal Substitution Effect):

    • 利率上升使得未來消費 Ct+1C_{t+1} 相對於當期消費 CtC_t 變得相對便宜(借款成本上升,儲蓄回報上升,但從替代效果角度看,是未來消費的機會成本上升,所以未來消費變貴)。
    • 消費者傾向於用相對便宜的當期消費來替代相對昂貴的未來消費。
    • 因此,替代效果導致:CtC_t 增加。
    • (此處的邏輯是:利率上升 -> 儲蓄回報上升 -> 借款成本上升 -> 未來消費的機會成本上升 -> 消費者會選擇少借款,多儲蓄 -> 減少未來消費 Ct+1C_{t+1},增加當期消費 CtC_t)。
  2. 所得效果 (Income Effect):

    • 利率上升對所得的影響取決於消費者是儲蓄者還是借款者。
    • 儲蓄者 (Savers):利率上升意味著儲蓄收益增加,總財富增加。財富增加導致消費增加。因此,所得效果使 CtC_t 增加。
    • 借款者 (Borrowers):利率上升意味著借款成本增加,總財富(購買力)減少。財富減少導致消費減少。
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第 9 題

A consumer lives for two periods, current period t and future period t+1. To maximize his lifetime utility, he solves the
following optimal consumption-saving problem.
max⁡Ct,Ct+1u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)\max_{C_t, C_{t+1}} u(C_t) + \beta u(C_{t+1})
Subject to the lifetime budget constraint.
Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
where rtr_t is the interest rate, YtY_t is his income at t, and Yt+1Y_{t+1} is income at t+1.
Answer the following 10 multiple-choices questions using the above two-periods optimal consumption framework. In the
following, MPC refers to the marginal propensity to consume.
9. Which of the following statements of the Euler equation is false? If you think every statement is correct, select (E).
(A) It equates the marginal cost and benefits of saving
(B) It equates the marginal utility of consumption today and the marginal utility of consumption tomorrow
(C) It implies that the marginal rate of substitution between consumption today and tomorrow is (1+r)
(D) When the Euler equation holds with equality, it implies that the MPC is less than 1
(E) All the above statements are correct, none of them are false

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這一題的完整詳解

核心觀念

本題考查兩期消費—儲蓄模型的 Euler equation(尤拉方程式)、跨期邊際替代率,以及邊際消費傾向(MPC)。

令 R=1+rtR=1+r_t。消費者的生命週期效用為:

u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)u(C_t)+\beta u(C_{t+1})

跨期預算限制為:

Ct+Ct+1R=Yt+Yt+1RC_t+\frac{C_{t+1}}{R} = Y_t+\frac{Y_{t+1}}{R}

其中,β\beta 為未來效用的折現因子。


解題方法:推導 Euler equation

若消費者增加一期儲蓄 11:

  • 當期消費 CtC_t 減少 11,效用損失為 u′(Ct)u'(C_t);
  • 下一期可多消費 R=1+rtR=1+r_t,折現後的效用利益為 βRu′(Ct+1)\beta R u'(C_{t+1})。

因此,最適消費—儲蓄選擇必須滿足:

u′(Ct)=β(1+rt)u′(Ct+1)u'(C_t)=\beta(1+r_t)u'(C_{t+1})

這就是 Euler equation。

亦可由拉格朗日法得到。建立:

L=u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)+λ(Yt+Yt+1R−Ct−Ct+1R)\mathcal{L} = u(C_t)+\beta u(C_{t+1}) +\lambda \left( Y_t+\frac{Y_{t+1}}{R} -C_t-\frac{C_{t+1}}{R} \right)

一階條件為:

u′(Ct)=λu'(C_t)=\lambda

以及:

βu′(Ct+1)=λR\beta u'(C_{t+1})=\frac{\lambda}{R}

消去 λ\lambda,即得:

u′(Ct)=βRu′(Ct+1)u'(C_t)=\beta R u'(C_{t+1})

選項分析

(A) 正確

Euler equation 可解釋為儲蓄的邊際成本與邊際利益相等:

u′(Ct)⏟當期少消費的邊際成本=β(1+rt)u′(Ct+1)⏟未來增加消費的折現邊際利益\underbrace{u'(C_t)}_{\text{當期少消費的邊際成本}} = \underbrace{\beta(1+r_t)u'(C_{t+1})}_{\text{未來增加消費的折現邊際利益}}

因此,選項所述正確。


(B) 錯誤

Euler equation 並不是直接令當期與下一期的「原始邊際效用」相等,而是:

u′(Ct)=β(1+rt)u′(Ct+1)u'(C_t)=\beta(1+r_t)u'(C_{t+1})

當期邊際效用等於「折現後且乘上利息報酬的未來邊際效用」。

除非特殊情況滿足 β(1+rt)=1\beta(1+r_t)=1,否則一般而言:

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第 10 題

A consumer lives for two periods, current period t and future period t+1. To maximize his lifetime utility, he solves the
following optimal consumption-saving problem.
max⁡Ct,Ct+1u(Ct)+βu(Ct+1)\max_{C_t, C_{t+1}} u(C_t) + \beta u(C_{t+1})
Subject to the lifetime budget constraint.
Ct+Ct+11+rt=Yt+Yt+11+rtC_t + \frac{C_{t+1}}{1+r_t} = Y_t + \frac{Y_{t+1}}{1+r_t}
where rtr_t is the interest rate, YtY_t is his income at t, and Yt+1Y_{t+1} is income at t+1.
Answer the following 10 multiple-choices questions using the above two-periods optimal consumption framework. In the
following, MPC refers to the marginal propensity to consume.
10. Suppose β(1+r)<1\beta(1+r) < 1 and the consumer is financially constrained. That is, he would like to borrow more but could not
due to the borrowing constraint. Then which is correct:
(A) His MPC is less than 1
(B) The marginal utility of current consumption is smaller than the marginal utility of future consumption
(C) The marginal utility of current consumption is larger than the marginal utility of future consumption
(D) An increase in the interest rate will result in a positive income effect for him

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這一題的完整詳解

核心觀念

本題考查兩期消費—儲蓄模型中的三個觀念:

  1. Euler 方程與跨期消費選擇。
  2. 借款約束下的角點解與邊際效用不等式。
  3. MPC 與利率變動的所得效果。

令 R=1+rR=1+r。若消費者未受借款約束,最適化的一階條件為

u′(Ct)=βRu′(Ct+1).u'(C_t)=\beta R u'(C_{t+1}).

題目給定

βR<1.\beta R<1.

這表示消費者相對偏好當期消費,因而希望透過借款增加 CtC_t;但借款約束使其無法借得更多,故最適解位於借款約束的邊界。


解題方法:借款約束下的最適條件

以儲蓄 StS_t 表示當期收入中未消費的部分:

Ct=Yt−St,C_t=Y_t-S_t, Ct+1=Yt+1+RSt.C_{t+1}=Y_{t+1}+RS_t.

若消費者想借款,等同於希望降低 StS_t。將效用對 StS_t 微分:

dUdSt=−u′(Ct)+βRu′(Ct+1).\frac{dU}{dS_t} = -u'(C_t)+\beta R u'(C_{t+1}).

在借款下限上,消費者若仍想增加借款,代表降低 StS_t 會增加效用,因此

dUdSt<0.\frac{dU}{dS_t}<0.

所以借款約束下的正確不等式為

u′(Ct)>βRu′(Ct+1).u'(C_t)>\beta R u'(C_{t+1}).

這是「當期邊際效用大於折現後的未來邊際效用」;但它不必然表示 u′(Ct)>u′(Ct+1)u'(C_t)>u'(C_{t+1})。因為 βR<1\beta R<1,單靠上述條件無法嚴格判定兩個未加權邊際效用的大小。


選項分析

(A) His MPC is less than 1

錯誤。

在借款約束綁定時,消費者無法透過增加借款來平滑消費。若當期收入增加,通常會直接增加當期消費,因此受約束消費者的當期 MPC 為

MPC=∂Ct∂Yt=1,MPC=\frac{\partial C_t}{\partial Y_t}=1,

而非小於 11。


(B) The marginal utility of current consumption is smaller than the marginal utility of future consumption

不能由題目條件必然推出。

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第 第二大題 題20 分

Short Answer Questions

The consumption-leisure problem: now we consider a static problem. The consumer chose his optimal labor supply and leisure:

max⁡c,lu(c,l)=ln⁡c−γϵ1+ϵn1+ϵϵ\max_{c,l} u(c,l)=\ln c-\frac{\gamma\epsilon}{1+\epsilon}n^{\frac{1+\epsilon}{\epsilon}}

Subject to the budget constraint:

c=wnc=wn

where cc denotes consumption, nn labor supply, and ll leisure. n+l=1n+l=1. ww is the wage. γ>0\gamma>0 is the degree of disutility from work, and ϵ\epsilon is the parameter.

A. (6 points) Form the Lagrangian of this problem and solve for the optimal conditions with respect to consumption and with respect to labor. Clearly write down the definition of the marginal rate of substitution between leisure and consumption.

B. (6 points) Suppose ϵ=1\epsilon=1, and γ>0\gamma>0. Solve for the optimal consumption and labor supply in question A. Write clearly how the value of γ\gamma affects the answer. Explain how wage affects the optimal labor supply and why.

C. (8 points) Suppose now the utility function follows the following GHH preference:

max⁡c,lu(c,l)=11−ϕ(c−γϵ1+ϵn1+ϵϵ)1−ϕ\max_{c,l}u(c,l)=\frac{1}{1-\phi}\left(c-\frac{\gamma\epsilon}{1+\epsilon}n^{\frac{1+\epsilon}{\epsilon}}\right)^{1-\phi}

Explain the unique feature of this GHH utility function on labor decision. Explain how wage affects the optimal labor supply and why. What is the elasticity of labor supply with respect to wage?

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這一題的完整詳解

核心觀念

本題考查消費—休閒選擇中的一階條件,以及一般偏好與 GHH 偏好下勞動供給對工資的反應。

休閒為 l=1−nl=1-n。消費的邊際效用為 MUc=∂u/∂cMU_c=\partial u/\partial c,休閒的邊際效用為 MUl=∂u/∂lMU_l=\partial u/\partial l。定義休閒對消費的邊際替代率為

MRSl,c=MUlMUcMRS_{l,c}=\frac{MU_l}{MU_c}

在內部最適解,MRSl,c=wMRS_{l,c}=w:消費者願意為多一單位休閒放棄的消費量,等於多工作一單位所能賺取的工資。

A. 拉格朗日式與最適條件

將 c=wnc=wn 以乘數 λ\lambda 納入拉格朗日式:

L=ln⁡c−γϵ1+ϵn1+ϵϵ+λ(wn−c)\mathcal{L} = \ln c - \frac{\gamma\epsilon}{1+\epsilon}n^{\frac{1+\epsilon}{\epsilon}} + \lambda(wn-c)

分別對消費 cc 與勞動 nn 微分,得到

∂L∂c=1c−λ=0⟹λ=1c\frac{\partial\mathcal{L}}{\partial c} = \frac{1}{c}-\lambda=0 \quad\Longrightarrow\quad \lambda=\frac{1}{c} ∂L∂n=−γn1/ϵ+λw=0⟹γn1/ϵ=λw\frac{\partial\mathcal{L}}{\partial n} = -\gamma n^{1/\epsilon}+\lambda w=0 \quad\Longrightarrow\quad \gamma n^{1/\epsilon}=\lambda w

將 λ=1/c\lambda=1/c 代入勞動的一階條件:

γn1/ϵ=wc\gamma n^{1/\epsilon}=\frac{w}{c}

由效用函數改以休閒 ll 表示為
u(c,l)=ln⁡c−γϵ1+ϵ(1−l)1+ϵϵu(c,l)=\ln c-\frac{\gamma\epsilon}{1+\epsilon}(1-l)^{\frac{1+\epsilon}{\epsilon}},可得

MUc=1c,MUl=γ(1−l)1/ϵ=γn1/ϵMU_c=\frac{1}{c}, \qquad MU_l=\gamma(1-l)^{1/\epsilon}=\gamma n^{1/\epsilon}

因此

MRSl,c=MUlMUc=γcn1/ϵMRS_{l,c} = \frac{MU_l}{MU_c} = \gamma c n^{1/\epsilon}

在最適解,MRSl,c=wMRS_{l,c}=w,也就是 γcn1/ϵ=w\gamma c n^{1/\epsilon}=w。這與前述拉格朗日一階條件一致。預算限制則為 c=wnc=wn。

B. ϵ=1\epsilon=1 時的消費與勞動供給

當 ϵ=1\epsilon=1,效用函數為

u(c,l)=ln⁡c−γ2n2u(c,l)=\ln c-\frac{\gamma}{2}n^2

由 A 題的一階條件,γn=w/c\gamma n=w/c。再利用 c=wnc=wn:

γn=wwn=1n⟹n2=1γ\gamma n=\frac{w}{wn}=\frac{1}{n} \quad\Longrightarrow\quad n^2=\frac{1}{\gamma}

勞動供給及消費因此為

n∗=1γ,c∗=wγn^*=\frac{1}{\sqrt{\gamma}}, \qquad c^*=\frac{w}{\sqrt{\gamma}}
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第 第三大題 題25 分

Solow Growth Model

In a closed economy, the basic Solow growth model consists of three key equations:

Yt=AKtαLt1−α;Y_t=AK_t^\alpha L_t^{1-\alpha};

Kt+1=(1−δ)Kt+It;K_{t+1}=(1-\delta)K_t+I_t;

St=sYt;S_t=sY_t;

where YtY_t, KtK_t, LtL_t, ItI_t, and StS_t represent aggregate output, the stock of physical capital, aggregate labor, total investment, and aggregate saving in Country X at period tt, respectively.

A. (5 points) Use the basic Solow model to graphically illustrate Country X’s steady state equilibrium.

B. (5 points) “A steady state equilibrium is identical to a market equilibrium.” True or false? Explain your answer.

C. (5 points) Show that Country X’s capital-output ratio at steady state is constant over time.

D. (10 points) The winners of 2024 Nobel Prize in Economics (Daron Acemoglu, Simon Johnson, and James Robinson) have demonstrated the importance of societal institutions for a country’s prosperity. Suppose initially Country X was in a steady state equilibrium. At the beginning of 2025, Country X implemented a policy reform by introducing some good rules of law and institutions. According to the findings of the 2024 Nobel Prize winners, Country X will gain from the policy reform and enjoy more aggregate output. Please graphically illustrate how the policy reform will affect Country X. Specifically, plot Country X’s new steady state equilibrium in your figure.

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這一題的完整詳解

核心觀念

本題考查索洛成長模型的資本累積、穩態條件、資本產出比,以及制度改善如何透過模型中的生產力變化影響長期產出。封閉經濟下,商品市場均衡要求投資等於儲蓄,即 It=St=sYtI_t=S_t=sY_t。

原卷列出 Yt=AKtαLt1−αY_t=AK_t^\alpha L_t^{1-\alpha}、Kt+1=(1−δ)Kt+ItK_{t+1}=(1-\delta)K_t+I_t、St=sYtS_t=sY_t,並說明制度改革後總產出將增加。原頁沒有預畫圖形,也沒有提供數值或勞動成長率;以下依題目所給模型,採固定勞動 LL、0<α<10<\alpha<1、s>0s>0、δ>0\delta>0 作答。

解題方法

將總量變數除以固定勞動,定義每人資本 kt=Kt/Lk_t=K_t/L、每人產出 yt=Yt/Ly_t=Y_t/L。由生產函數可得:

yt=Aktαy_t=Ak_t^\alpha

封閉經濟中 It=St=sYtI_t=S_t=sY_t,因此資本累積式除以 LL 後為:

kt+1=(1−δ)kt+sAktαk_{t+1}=(1-\delta)k_t+sAk_t^\alpha

穩態時資本不再變動,即 kt+1=kt=k∗k_{t+1}=k_t=k^*。因此,每人投資必須恰好補足折舊:

sAk∗α=δk∗sAk^{*\alpha}=\delta k^*

A. 以圖形說明穩態均衡

以每人資本 kk 為橫軸、每人投資為縱軸,畫出每人投資 sAkαsAk^\alpha 與損益兩平投資 δk\delta k。兩曲線交點就是穩態資本 k∗k^*。

每人投資
  ^
  |                         δk
  |                       /
  |          sAk^α      /
  |        ╭──────────●
  |      ╭─╯        /
  |    ╭─╯       /
  |  ╭─╯      /
  |╭─╯     /
  +----------------------------> 每人資本 k
                  k*

在 k<k∗k<k^* 時,sAkα>δksAk^\alpha>\delta k,投資超過折舊,資本增加;在 k>k∗k>k^* 時,sAkα<δksAk^\alpha<\delta k,資本減少。因此資本會朝 k∗k^* 調整。

令兩邊相等,可解得:

k∗=(sAδ)11−αk^*=\left(\frac{sA}{\delta}\right)^{\frac{1}{1-\alpha}}

穩態每人產出為:

y∗=A(k∗)αy^*=A(k^*)^\alpha

B. 「穩態均衡等同於市場均衡」是否正確?

**錯。**穩態描述的是經濟變數是否隨時間改變;市場均衡描述的是市場供需是否相等。兩者是不同概念。

在本題的穩態,資本不變要求投資恰等於折舊,也就是 sY=δKsY=\delta K。這說明資本累積達到穩定狀態;若要判斷市場均衡,還須確認相關市場的供需與商品市場清算條件。穩態經濟可以同時是市場均衡,但穩態本身不等於市場均衡。

C. 證明穩態資本產出比為定值

在穩態,資本累積式表示新增投資恰好補足折舊:

I∗=S∗=sY∗=δK∗I^*=S^*=sY^*=\delta K^*

兩邊同除以 δY∗\delta Y^*,得到:

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第 第四大題 題25 分

Two-period Model

A growing number of young people prefer having pets to having children. However, pets can accompany children as they grow up. The key to having pets or children lies in whether pets and children are substitutes or complements. Let’s consider a representative agent of Country T in a two-period model. Assume that Country T is a small open economy. Thus, the wage rate (ww) and interest rate (rr) in Country T are taken as given. The representative agent cares about her consumption in period 1 (c1c_1), consumption in period 2 (c2c_2), the number of children she has (nn), and the number of pets she raises (mm). Specifically, her lifetime utility is given by:

U=log⁡c1+δ(nαm1−α)+βlog⁡c2U=\log c_1+\delta(n^\alpha m^{1-\alpha})+\beta\log c_2

where δ>0\delta>0 is the preference parameter of children and pets relative to consumption; and β\beta is the subjective discount factor, 0<β<10<\beta<1. Her preferences on the number of children and pets are nested by a Cobb-Douglas function with the parameter α\alpha. The agent has one unit of time in each period. In the first period, she works and allocates her labor income among raising children, having pets, her consumption in period 1, and her saving (ss). The goods cost of raising a child is pp, with a portion of it subsidized by the government. The portion is denoted as ρ\rho. Similarly, the goods cost of having a pet is qq, but the government imposes a proportional tax on the cost of raising a pet. Denote the tax rate as τm\tau_m. To be simple, we assume the agent retires in the second period and only depends on her saving.

A. (5 points) Write down the representative agent’s maximization problem, including the budget constraints for the two periods.

B. (5 points) Solve for the optimal pets-to-children ratio (m/nm/n).

C. (5 points) Solve for the optimal consumption for period 1.

D. (10 points) In this setup, can an increase in the tax rate of pets boost fertility? Mathematically show your answer.

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這一題的完整詳解

核心觀念

本題結合兩期消費與儲蓄選擇,以及子女、寵物的 Cobb–Douglas 偏好。先用兩期預算與一階條件決定消費、儲蓄的比例,再用子女和寵物的邊際效用條件求最適數量比。分析寵物稅對生育的影響時,關鍵是同時考慮「相對價格改變」與「家庭總支出改變」。

令子女商品成本為

A=(1−ρ)pA=(1-\rho)p

寵物商品成本為

B=(1+τm)qB=(1+\tau_m)q

其中假設 0<α<10<\alpha<1,且子女與寵物的數量可選擇為零。

A. 代表性個人的最適化問題

第一期工作一單位時間,勞動所得為 ww。政府補貼後,每名子女的商品成本為 AA;課稅後,每隻寵物的商品成本為 BB。兩期預算限制為

c1+s+An+Bm=wc_1+s+An+Bm=w c2=(1+r)sc_2=(1+r)s

因此,代表性個人的最適化問題為

max⁡c1,c2,n,m,slog⁡c1+δnαm1−α+βlog⁡c2\max_{c_1,c_2,n,m,s} \quad \log c_1+\delta n^\alpha m^{1-\alpha}+\beta\log c_2

subject to

c1+s+An+Bm=wc_1+s+An+Bm=w c2=(1+r)sc_2=(1+r)s

並要求 c1,c2>0c_1,c_2>0、n,m≥0n,m\geq 0。題目沒有設定育兒或養寵物的時間成本,因此第一期工作所得直接以 ww 計算。

B. 最適寵物與子女數量比

在 n,m>0n,m>0 的內部解下,令 λ\lambda 為第一期預算限制的乘數。對 nn 與 mm 的一階條件為

δαnα−1m1−α=λA\delta\alpha n^{\alpha-1}m^{1-\alpha}=\lambda A δ(1−α)nαm−α=λB\delta(1-\alpha)n^\alpha m^{-\alpha}=\lambda B

兩式相除,並整理得

α1−αmn=AB\frac{\alpha}{1-\alpha}\frac{m}{n}=\frac{A}{B}

因此,

mn=1−αα(1−ρ)p(1+τm)q\boxed{ \frac{m}{n} = \frac{1-\alpha}{\alpha} \frac{(1-\rho)p}{(1+\tau_m)q} }

寵物相對價格上升時,最適寵物與子女數量比下降。

C. 第一期最適消費

先由儲蓄的一階條件求兩期消費比例。對 ss 的一階條件為

−1c1+β(1+r)c2=0-\frac{1}{c_1}+\frac{\beta(1+r)}{c_2}=0

代入 c2=(1+r)sc_2=(1+r)s,得到

s=βc1s=\beta c_1

將此式代回第一期預算限制:

(1+β)c1=w−An−Bm(1+\beta)c_1=w-An-Bm

所以,給定子女與寵物數量時,

c1=w−(1−ρ)pn−(1+τm)qm1+β\boxed{ c_1=\frac{w-(1-\rho)pn-(1+\tau_m)qm}{1+\beta} }

若進一步求出完整內部最適解,可將家庭偏好組合記為 M=nαm1−αM=n^\alpha m^{1-\alpha}。達成一單位 MM 的最低支出為

P=AαB1−ααα(1−α)1−αP= \frac{A^\alpha B^{1-\alpha}} {\alpha^\alpha(1-\alpha)^{1-\alpha}}

因而家庭組合 MM 的支出為 x=PMx=PM。由最適數量比可得子女支出占家庭總支出的比例為 α\alpha,故

n=αxAn=\frac{\alpha x}{A}

將 s=βc1s=\beta c_1 代入效用函數及預算限制後,選擇家庭支出 xx 的問題等價於

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